How panel direction and tilt change solar output
By Emily CarterPublished Data as of 2026-10-27: PVWatts® v8, typical-year weather
In the median city on this site, panels facing east or west make about 14% less a year than the same panels facing south at a 20° tilt, and flat panels about 12% less. Tilting south-facing panels up to the city's latitude adds about 2%, and it is the best fixed layout in 99 of the 100 cities. A 1-axis tracker on the ground adds about 16%.
The six layouts side by side
Every city was modelled six times with the same 1 kW of panels: the reference roof (south, 20° tilt), south-facing at a tilt equal to the city's latitude, flat, east-facing at 20°, west-facing at 20°, and a 1-axis tracker. The table gives the median change against the reference roof across all 100 cities, and the range from the city with the lowest change to the city with the highest.
| Layout | Median | Range across cities |
|---|---|---|
| South, tilted to latitude | +1.9% | −0.1% (Honolulu) to +5.0% (Fargo) |
| 1-axis tracker | +15.9% | +6.3% (Anchorage) to +21.7% (Honolulu) |
| Flat | −11.7% | −16.1% (Fargo) to −4.5% (Honolulu) |
| West, 20° tilt | −14.1% | −18.7% (Billings) to −7.6% (Honolulu) |
| East, 20° tilt | −14.4% | −18.2% (Fargo) to −7.0% (Honolulu) |
Two things stand out. The fixed alternatives sit in a tight order: latitude tilt on top, then flat, then the two side-facing roofs, which are close to each other. And the spread inside each layout is wide: an east-facing roof loses 7.0% in Honolulu but 18.2% in Fargo. Denver shows the usual order: 1,602 kWh per kW at 20° south, 1,665 tilted to 40°, 1,375 flat, 1,361 east and 1,329 west.
Steeper tilt helps most in the north
Tilting south-facing panels to the city's latitude is the best fixed layout in 99 of the 100 cities. The exception is Honolulu, HI, where the 20° roof wins by a hair. The data shows why: its latitude is 21.3°, barely more than the reference, so the two layouts are almost the same roof.
The gain grows with latitude (correlation 0.68). It reaches +5.0% in Fargo, ND, at 46.9° north. Twelve cities gain less than 1%. Most are in Florida, on the Gulf Coast and in south Texas, but Seattle (+0.9%) and Portland (+0.6%) are on the list too, far to the north. Their winters, when a steeper tilt helps most, add little to the year: they make 31% and 29% as much from December to February as from June to August. A steeper panel faces the low winter sun more squarely and the high summer sun less squarely, and the monthly figures show the trade: in the median city, latitude tilt changes December output by +20.2% and June output by −9.7% compared with the 20° roof. Over a year the winter gain wins, but only modestly.
Flat panels lose most where the winter sun is low
Laying panels flat loses 11.7% of yearly output in the median city. The loss tracks latitude even more closely than the tilt gain does (correlation −0.85): it is largest in Fargo, ND (−16.1%) and the other northern-plains cities, and smallest in Honolulu, HI (−4.5%).
The monthly split is lopsided. In the median city a flat array changes December output by −34.9% against the 20° roof, but June output by +3.0%. Flat panels actually beat the 20° roof in June in 95 of the 100 cities; they lose the year because of the winter months.
East or west: nearly a tie, with a regional pattern
East- and west-facing roofs lose about the same amount against south: a median of −14.4% for east and −14.1% for west. Between the two, west makes more in 45 cities and east in 55. The gap is small everywhere. The largest west lead is in Santa Ana, CA, 6.5% of the reference output, and the largest east lead is in Orlando, FL, 5.0%.
| Division | Cities | West ahead in | Median west − east |
|---|---|---|---|
| West North Central | 10 | 9 of 10 | +0.9% |
| Pacific | 19 | 17 of 19 | +3.4% |
| West South Central | 13 | 10 of 13 | +1.7% |
| East North Central | 8 | 3 of 8 | −0.7% |
| East South Central | 6 | 2 of 6 | −0.2% |
| Middle Atlantic | 6 | 1 of 6 | −0.7% |
| New England | 6 | 1 of 6 | −0.5% |
| South Atlantic | 15 | 2 of 15 | −0.9% |
| Mountain | 17 | 0 of 17 | −2.0% |
West − east is the difference between the two layouts as a share of the city's reference output.
The pattern is geographic. West wins in almost all Pacific and West North Central cities, and east wins in all of the Mountain cities and most of the South Atlantic. The model runs on hourly typical-year weather, so a west lead means that city's weather file gives the panels more usable sun in the afternoon than in the morning. The data does not record why. If your roof faces east or west, the city page lists both figures, and the panel direction table has every city.
Where a tracker adds the most
A 1-axis tracker turns the panels from east to west through the day. It is a ground mount, not a roof option, and the site shows it only for comparison. It adds +15.9% in the median city, from +6.3% in Anchorage, AK to +21.7% in Honolulu, HI. By Census region the median gain is +18.0% in the West, +16.1% in the South, +14.3% in the Midwest and +13.4% in the Northeast. The rankings list the 15 cities where it helps most.
To see all six layouts for one city, open its page or pick the city in the yield estimator and switch layouts: the yearly total, the monthly bars and the city's rank update for each one.
Sources
- PVWatts® Calculator API v8, National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR, formerly NREL): developer.nlr.gov. 600 model runs (100 cities × 6 layouts), retrieved 2026-10-27.
- Weather: NSRDB typical-meteorological-year data returned by PVWatts® (NSRDB PSM V3 GOES tmy-2020 3.2.0, NSRDB PSM V4 Polar tmy-2023 1.0.0).
- City list and locations: U.S. Census Bureau, Vintage 2024 Population Estimates for incorporated places (SUB-EST2024) and U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 Gazetteer Files - Places (census.gov).
- Every figure in this guide is computed by SunYieldMap from those model runs. Settings and limits are in the methodology.